Following up on yesterday's post about Donald Trump carrying all 77 Oklahoma counties for the third time, here's another set of Election Results Maps from Tuesday. Trump scored 66.17% statewide (third highest for Republican presidential candidates, behind Reagan's 68.61% in 1984 and Nixon's 71.78% in 1972), beating Kamala Harris by 34.27%. First up, let's look at which direction Trump's 77-county win moved in each county compared to 2020.
Here is the much-anticipated 2024 general election edition of my long-running Election Results Maps series. I've been compiling these since 2010, which has included the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections.
As you can see, former President Donald Trump carried all 77 counties, making 2024 the sixth presidential cycle in a row where the Republican nominee won every single one of Oklahoma's counties (dating back to 2004).
The presidential primary was on Tuesday, so it's time to update my long-running Election Results Maps series. Today, we look at how well - or how poorly - the presumptive major party nominees performed.
First up, the Democratic primary:
As you can see, President Joe Biden cruised to 72.98% statewide, a lead of 45.96% over all challengers combined. However, he failed to carry all 77 counties, losing one (Cimarron) to Congressman Dean Phillips.
Biden clung to single-digit leads in three other counties - Coal (33.33%, a 2.2% lead over Phillips), Roger Mills (37.5%, a 1.4% lead over Phillips), and Washita (35.92%, a 4.9% lead over Phillips). He was held under 50% in 11 counties, and an even 50% in one more.
He did perform better than President Barack Obama did in his second-term primary; Obama received 57.1%, while losing 14 counties. On the other hand, President Trump set a record for incumbent presidents by scoring 92.6% in 2020 (including unanimous votes in 13.7% of all precints).
Speaking of Trump...
Granted, he's something of a semi-incumbent, at least within his own party, but I would surmise this to be the largest and most dominant primary performance by an individual who is not currently sitting in the White House.
Here is the much-anticipated 2020 general election edition of my long-running Election Results Maps series. I've been compiling these since 2010, which has included both the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections.
In this post, we'll take a look at the Presidential race results here in Oklahoma, and compare the 2020 presidential race to 2016. We'll examine the U.S. Senate raceand both state questions in a separate article.
First up, the big one:
As you can see, President Donald Trump carried all 77 counties, making 2020 the fifth presidential cycle in a row where the Republican nominee won every single one of Oklahoma's counties (dating back to 2004).
These figures were pretty wild. Oklahoma County was by far the closest, with a spread of just 1.21% and with Trump held to 49.25% of the vote. The next closest? Cleveland and Tulsa counties at spreads of 14.06% and 15.57%, respectively. They weren't even close.
14 counties had Trump leads between 20% and 50%. 52 counties went red by margins between 50% and 75%, and Trump won in 8 counties by more than 75%.
The Oklahoma State Election Board released statistics showing that the Oklahoma Republican Party now has an outright majority of registered voters for the first time in Oklahoma history. I put that data into some maps to illustrate the simply massive sea change experienced in much of Oklahoma just this year.
Since January of this year, the GOP has taken the lead in the following 13 counties:
The Oklahoma State Election Board has been releasing data on the early voting turnout by day, with Saturday set to be the final day for early voting to take place. I took a look at the statistics, and put together these two maps to show what's currently going on.
This first map compares the voter registration leader in each county to the proportion of voters by party who have voted early thus far. A blue county means a higher percentage of Democrats have voted than are registered in that county, and vice-versa for red counties.
Example A: as of January 2020, Adair County had 47.46% Democratic and 40.26% Republican. As of 5pm Friday, 46.38% of Adair County early voters were Republicans and 41.85% were Democrats. Adair County goes on the map as red due to a higher proportion of Republicans casting early votes than are registered.
Example B: as of January 2020, Caddo County was 47.52% Democratic and 38.47% Republican. As of 5pm Friday, 53.16% of Adair County early voters were Democrats and 40.36% were Republicans. Adair County goes on the map as blue due to a higher proportion of Democrats casting early votes than are registered.
Now for the map:
This next map looks at which counties have "flipped" so far in early voting.
Example A: as of January 2020, Johnson County was 51.13% Democratic and 35.95% Republican. As of 5pm Friday, 37.18% of Johnson County early voters were Democrats and 54.4% were Republicans. Atoka County is a registered Democrat-majority county with more Republicans voting early thus far than Democrats.
Example B: as of January 2020, Cleveland County was 47.9% Republican and 33.18% Democratic. As of 5pm Friday, 44.03% of Cleveland County early voters were Democrats and 41.79% were Republicans. Cleveland County is a registered Republican-plurality county with more Democrats voting early thus far than Republicans.
The map:
