Thursday, November 05, 2020

Election Results Map: Presidential Race

 Here is the much-anticipated 2020 general election edition of my long-running Election Results Maps series. I've been compiling these since 2010, which has included both the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections.

In this post, we'll take a look at the Presidential race results here in Oklahoma, and compare the 2020 presidential race to 2016. We'll examine the U.S. Senate raceand both state questions in a separate article.

First up, the big one:

As you can see, President Donald Trump carried all 77 counties, making 2020 the fifth presidential cycle in a row where the Republican nominee won every single one of Oklahoma's counties (dating back to 2004).

These figures were pretty wild. Oklahoma County was by far the closest, with a spread of just 1.21% and with Trump held to 49.25% of the vote. The next closest? Cleveland and Tulsa counties at spreads of 14.06% and 15.57%, respectively. They weren't even close. 

14 counties had Trump leads between 20% and 50%. 52 counties went red by margins between 50% and 75%, and Trump won in 8 counties by more than 75%

In 36 of Oklahoma's 77 counties, President Trump received over 80% of the vote. In 32 counties, he took between 70% and 80% of the vote. He was under 70% in just 9 counties.

Trump increased his percentage by 0.04%, from 65.33% to 65.37%. Biden improved on Clinton's 2016 showing by 3.36% (from 28.93% to 32.29%), at the expense of the Libertarian/Independent vote, which declined by 3.42% (from 5.75% in 2016 to 2.33% in 2020).

Oklahoma County swung blue by 9.31%, from a Trump lead of 10.51% in 2016 to 1.21% in 2020. Next on the list was Canadian County (-7.98%), Cleveland County (-7.6%), Tulsa County (-7.25%), Payne County (-5.01%), and Comanche County (-3.65%). With the exception of Payne County, these were the only counties where Trump received lower percentages of the vote compared to 2016; there were another twelve counties that shifted slightly more blue as a result of dramatically decreased third-party voting.

Biden made improvements over Clinton's performance in 38 counties -- only five of which had a larger increase than the decrease among Libertarian/Independent voters.

BONUS: you can view the 2016 vs. 2012 and 2012 vs 2008 maps at the links.


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