Tuesday, November 03, 2020

Here's how I think the Presidential race and U.S. Senate will go

Let's have a go at this. 270toWin.com has a neat feature that allows you to customize your predictions from the presidential race down to control of the state legislatures.

Whether I'm any good at this or not, only time will tell. For the record, I did nail the 2008 GOP Iowa Caucus back in 2008 (a few months before I started this blog), but my predictions since then have been, well, hit and miss! I thought McCain was going to beat Obama, and that Clinton would beat Trump. I've been better on state races, but this part really is more for "fun" and pure guesswork. 

Here goes.

Last week, I pretty much thought Trump was a goner. I feel somewhat more optimistic now. He has to thread the needle, run the table in a host of toss-up/lean-Democratic states, but I think it's doable. I even think there's an outside chance (on this outside chance) that he could do the below map, plus win one of either Michigan, Minnesota, or Nevada.


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

Now for the U.S. Senate. I think, overall, the Republicans will lose two seats but hang on to the majority by the slimmest of margins:


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com


What do you think? Drop your own presidential and Senate predictions in the comments section, or on the Muskogee Politico Facebook page.

1 comments:

Philip said...

I think he will pick up Michigan, Nevada, and perhaps Minnesota. I also think that James will give us a pickup for Senate in Michigan.