Election Results Maps: More on Oklahoma's Trump vote

Following up on yesterday's post about Donald Trump carrying all 77 Oklahoma counties for the third time, here's another set of Election Results Maps from Tuesday. Trump scored 66.17% statewide (third highest for Republican presidential candidates, behind Reagan's 68.61% in 1984 and Nixon's 71.78% in 1972), beating Kamala Harris by 34.27%. First up, let's look at which direction Trump's 77-county win moved in each county compared to 2020.

Election Results Map: Trump carries all 77 Oklahoma counties for third time

Here is the much-anticipated 2024 general election edition of my long-running Election Results Maps series. I've been compiling these since 2010, which has included the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections.

As you can see, former President Donald Trump carried all 77 counties, making 2024 the sixth presidential cycle in a row where the Republican nominee won every single one of Oklahoma's counties (dating back to 2004).

Election Results Maps: Trump mega-sweep, Biden loses one county

The presidential primary was on Tuesday, so it's time to update my long-running Election Results Maps series. Today, we look at how well - or how poorly - the presumptive major party nominees performed. 

First up, the Democratic primary:

As you can see, President Joe Biden cruised to 72.98% statewide, a lead of 45.96% over all challengers combined. However, he failed to carry all 77 counties, losing one (Cimarron) to Congressman Dean Phillips.

Biden clung to single-digit leads in three other counties - Coal (33.33%, a 2.2% lead over Phillips), Roger Mills (37.5%, a 1.4% lead over Phillips), and Washita (35.92%, a 4.9% lead over Phillips). He was held under 50% in 11 counties, and an even 50% in one more.

He did perform better than President Barack Obama did in his second-term primary; Obama received 57.1%, while losing 14 counties. On the other hand, President Trump set a record for incumbent presidents by scoring 92.6% in 2020 (including unanimous votes in 13.7% of all precints).

Speaking of Trump...

Former President Donald Trump, unsurprisingly, swept all 77 counties by commanding margins, with 81.83% statewide (a lead of 63.66% over all challengers combined). His worst showing was in Oklahoma County, where he led Nikki Haley by a 72.23% to 24.92% vote (a 47.3% lead for The Donald). He topped 90% in 23 counties, including two where he led by 90% (Coal with a 90.4% lead, and Choctaw with a 90.3% lead -- with 94.84% and 94.55% of the vote, respectively).

Granted, he's something of a semi-incumbent, at least within his own party, but I would surmise this to be the largest and most dominant primary performance by an individual who is not currently sitting in the White House.

Election Results Map: U.S. Senate, other statewide races

Earlier this week, I update my long-running Election Results Maps series with a post looking at the 2022 Oklahoma general election races for Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and State Superintendent. In this post, we'll cover the remaining statewide partisan races.

Overall, it was a Republican romp.

Election Results Map: Gov, LtGov, and State Superintendent races

Update: be sure to check out my follow-up post here, with U.S. Senate and other statewide races

I've finally gotten the time to update my long-running Election Results Maps series with some posts looking at the 2022 Oklahoma general election.

For now, we'll look at the race for Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and State Superintendent. I'll work on additional races as I find the time.

Election Results Maps: U.S. Senate, State Questions 805 and 814

 Here is the much-anticipated 2020 general election edition of my long-running Election Results Maps series. As promised in my post on the presidential results in Oklahoma, we will be looking here at the U.S. Senate race and results from the two state questions that voter soundly rejected.

In his final election, Senator Jim Inhofe posted his second-best general election showing, behind only his 2014 matchup where he received 68% of the vote. His results largely trailed President Trump's by a few points, with Oklahoma County also being his closest with a 0.93% spread (48.33% to 47.4%). His best result came in Cimarron County with a lead of 84.71%

Next, let's look at the two state questions that were on the ballot.

Rural Oklahoma rejected State Question 805 in overwhelming fashion. This ballot measure won in Oklahoma County alone (54.21% to 45.79%, a 8.42% spread). The 'Yes' vote in Cleveland County trailed by 3.13%, Comanche by 7.2%, and Tulsa by 13.76%. All 73 other counties had a 'no' lead of at least 24%, with 20 at over 50%.

Election Results Map: Presidential Race

 Here is the much-anticipated 2020 general election edition of my long-running Election Results Maps series. I've been compiling these since 2010, which has included both the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections.

In this post, we'll take a look at the Presidential race results here in Oklahoma, and compare the 2020 presidential race to 2016. We'll examine the U.S. Senate raceand both state questions in a separate article.

First up, the big one:

As you can see, President Donald Trump carried all 77 counties, making 2020 the fifth presidential cycle in a row where the Republican nominee won every single one of Oklahoma's counties (dating back to 2004).

These figures were pretty wild. Oklahoma County was by far the closest, with a spread of just 1.21% and with Trump held to 49.25% of the vote. The next closest? Cleveland and Tulsa counties at spreads of 14.06% and 15.57%, respectively. They weren't even close. 

14 counties had Trump leads between 20% and 50%. 52 counties went red by margins between 50% and 75%, and Trump won in 8 counties by more than 75%. 

Maps: see where the GOP and Dems are overperforming in Oklahoma Early Voting

The Oklahoma State Election Board has been releasing data on the early voting turnout by day, with Saturday set to be the final day for early voting to take place. I took a look at the statistics, and put together these two maps to show what's currently going on.

This first map compares the voter registration leader in each county to the proportion of voters by party who have voted early thus far. A blue county means a higher percentage of Democrats have voted than are registered in that county, and vice-versa for red counties. 

Example A: as of January 2020, Adair County had 47.46% Democratic and 40.26% Republican. As of 5pm Friday, 46.38% of Adair County early voters were Republicans and 41.85% were Democrats. Adair County goes on the map as red due to a higher proportion of Republicans casting early votes than are registered.  

Example B: as of January 2020, Caddo County was 47.52% Democratic and 38.47% Republican. As of 5pm Friday, 53.16% of Adair County early voters were Democrats and 40.36% were Republicans. Adair County goes on the map as blue due to a higher proportion of Democrats casting early votes than are registered. 

Now for the map:

This next map looks at which counties have "flipped" so far in early voting.

Example A: as of January 2020, Johnson County was 51.13% Democratic and 35.95% Republican. As of 5pm Friday, 37.18% of Johnson County early voters were Democrats and 54.4% were Republicans. Atoka County is a registered Democrat-majority county with more Republicans voting early thus far than Democrats.

Example B: as of January 2020, Cleveland County was 47.9% Republican and 33.18% Democratic. As of 5pm Friday, 44.03% of Cleveland County early voters were Democrats and 41.79% were Republicans. Cleveland County is a registered Republican-plurality county with more Democrats voting early thus far than Republicans.

The map:

Astounding map: Trump's percentage by county

We've had another election, so it's time for some new additions to my decade-old Election Results Maps series. Tonight, we're looking at the percentages President Trump received in each county. As I mentioned in a previous post, Trump set a new record for incumbent presidents in a reelection primary vote with 92.6%.

Trump's lowest percentages came, expectedly, in urban or university counties, but "lowest" is very relative, as his "worst" total was still 88.2%.

12 counties gave Trump over 98% of the vote, with about half of them confining the five challengers' votes to a cumulative single-digit total. Haskell and Harmon counties had just two people cast ballots for someone else.

Haven't dug through them yet, but I bet there will be a large amount of unanimously-Trump precincts.

Muskogee mayoral race goes to runoff between Coleman and Divelbiss

L-R: Muskogee mayoral candidates Marlon Coleman and Wayne Divelbiss

Polls have closed in Muskogee, and the votes have been counted. In a five-way race for mayor, the field has been winnowed down to a runoff between city councilman Marlon Coleman and two-time candidate Wayne Divelbiss. Divelbiss ran a well-funded, but very negative campaign, finishing ahead of sitting mayor Janey Cagle-Boydston to avoid missing the runoff.

A former city councilor herself, Boydston has been serving as mayor since April 2019, when Bob Coburn resigned to take an appointment with the Oklahoma Transportation Commission.

I believe the runoff will be held on April 7th. Municipal elections in Muskogee are nonpartisan.

Final (uncertified) vote tally:

1. Marlon Coleman: 39.63%
2. Wayne Divelbiss: 29.91%
3. Janey Cagle Boydston: 23.66%
4. Tracy Cole: 5.25%
5. John Lowrimore: 1.56%

Here's a quick map of the results, showing who came in first in each precinct. Some of them are very close, such as Precinct 7, where Divelbiss beat out Coleman by a vote of 181 to 180:

Also, in case anyone complains about the colors, I go with the main color of the candidates' signage/logo. It's how my maps have worked for almost a decade when it comes to primaries or nonpartisan elections.

In the city council races, Stephanie Morgan cruised to victory in Ward 1 (full term) over former city councilor David Ragsdale, 71.48% to 28.52%. In the race for the unfinished term in Ward 1 (vacated by then-vice mayor Janey Boydston when she succeeded Coburn mayor), Evelyn Hibbs defeated Ashley Davis 64.49% to 35.51%. 

In Ward 4, Traci McGee (52.47%) defeated incumbent councilor Wayne Johnson (34.41% and fellow challenger James Webb (13.12%).

Results Map: Muskogee voters pass $110M school bond

(click to view larger)

Voters in Muskogee approved a $110M school bond today with 68.15% of the vote, clearing the 60% approval threshold for bond passage. The above graphic shows precinct-by-precinct results, illustrating the percentages above or below the 60% mark in each voting district.

Two minuscule precincts were unanimous in their voting -- Precinct 36 (the far western edge of the school district) had five votes cast in favor and none opposed, while Precinct 46 (the darkest red) has a single vote cast in opposition and none in favor.

Aside from the unanimous precincts, the top three precincts for the Yes vote were Precinct 23 (84.4% yes; 238-44), Precinct 17 (83.05% yes; 98-20), and Precinct 38 (79.96% yes; 455-114).

The top three precincts voting No were Precinct 55 (49.06% yes; 26-27, the only outright majority for the No side), Precinct 45 (54.04% yes, 107-91), and Precinct 37 (56.67% yes, 17-13).

Below is a table with results by precinct. I'm hoping the formatting holds and is readable. If not, you can go to the State Election Board website and navigate through their results page, find the Muskogee election, click 'View As', then 'County Details', then click 'Precincts' to get the raw figures without percentages.

Precinct	Yes vote	%	No vote	%	Total Vote	+/- 60%
5	246	61.50%	154	38.50%	400	+1.5%
7	457	63.03%	268	36.97%	725	+3.03%
9	423	67.79%	201	32.21%	624	+7.79%
11	95	60.90%	61	39.10%	156	+0.9%
13	147	59.76%	99	40.24%	246	-0.24%
17	98	83.05%	20	16.95%	118	+23.05%
21	177	75.64%	57	24.36%	234	+15.64%
22	278	71.47%	111	28.53%	389	+11.47%
23	238	84.40%	44	15.60%	282	+24.4%
28	100	68.03%	47	31.97%	147	+8.03%
36	5	100%	0	0%	5	+40%
37	128	58.45%	91	41.55%	219	-1.55%
38	455	79.96%	114	20.04%	569	+19.96%
45	107	54.04%	91	45.96%	198	-5.96%
46	0	0%	1	100%	1	-60%
47	45	66.18%	23	33.82%	68	+6.18%
49	13	68.42%	6	31.58%	19	+8.42%
55	26	49.06%	27	50.94%	53	-10.94%
61	17	56.67%	13	43.33%	30	-3.33%
	3055	68.15%	1428	31.85%	4483	+8.15%

Election Results Maps: Oklahoma Legislature

I've had a busy week since election day, so I'm pretty far behind on posting about the results. Here are two maps illustrating the election results and new partisan makeup in the Oklahoma Legislature.

First up, the Oklahoma State House:

On a night when many expected Democrats to make major gains in the Legislature, Republicans picked up seven seats in the House, while Democrats only flipped three, meaning the GOP now holds an historically-high majority of 76 members to a mere 25 registered Democrats.

Districts that flipped:

• HD6 - Democrat to Republican (open seat)
• HD15 - Democrat to Republican (open seat)
• HD17 - Democrat to Republican (open seat)
• HD18 - Democrat to Republican (Rep. Donnie Condit defeated)
• HD24 - Democrat to Republican (Minority Leader Steve Kouplen defeated)
• HD71 - Republican to Democrat (open seat)
• HD79 - Republican to Democrat (open seat)
• HD83 - Republican to Democrat (open seat)
• HD86 - Democrat to Republican (open seat)

House Democrats are an endangered species in rural Oklahoma, and extinct in Gene Stipe's old stomping grounds of McAlester, the heart of Little Dixie. Both House seats in the McAlester area went red, including the defeat of incumbent Rep. Donnie Condit. More astonishingly, House Minority Leader Steve Kouplen was upset in HD24.

Now for the Senate side:

While the House had a significant shift, the Senate was more subdued. Republicans picked up one seat, while Democrats flipped two, putting the chamber at 39 Republicans and 9 Democrats.

Districts that flipped:

• SD30 - Republican to Democrat (open seat)
• SD32 - Democrat to Republican (open seat)
• SD40 - Republican to Democrat (Sen. Ervin Yen defeated in GOP primary)

On the Senate side, the Democrats lost their sole remaining mostly-rural district, and the only one west of I-35. They are now confined to the OKC-Norman and Tulsa metros.

Election Results Maps: GOP Gubernatorial runoff

This Election Results Map post looks at the GOP runoff for Governor. Previously, I posted the maps for the GOP State Auditor, Attorney General, Corporation Commission, Labor Commissioner, Lieutenant Governor, and State Superintendent runoffs, as well as the Libertarian gubernatorial runoff.

Kevin Stitt absolutely swamped Mick Cornett in the eastern half of the state, topping 70% in Okmulgee, Haskell, Latimer, Pushmataha, Atoka, and Choctaw counties, as well as Cimarron County in the Panhandle. He won Tulsa County by 22.3%, and won most of the rest of the Tulsa metro by over 25%.

Mick Cornett won Oklahoma County by 15.55% and Payne County by 10.7%; the remaining seven counties that he won were by an average of 4.93%.

Overall, Cornett won his nine counties by an average of 6.75%, while Stitt won his 68 counties by an average of 24.2%. Where Stitt won, it tended to be a landslide.

In the primary, Cornett won 24 counties to Stitt's 13; third-place candidate Todd Lamb won 39 counties. In the runoff, Stitt carried all but one of Lamb's counties, and flipped 16 counties that Cornett had won, in addition to winning the one county that went to Dan Fisher.

In the runoff, Stitt won 68 counties to Cornett's 9.

Election Results Map: State Superintendent runoff

This Election Results Map post looks at the GOP runoff for State Superintendent. Previously, I posted the maps for the GOP State Auditor, Attorney General, Corporation Commission, Labor Commissioner, and Lieutenant Governor runoffs, as well as the Libertarian gubernatorial runoff.

Joy Hofmeister did very well west of U.S. Highway 69, particularly in the I-44 and I-40 corridors. Her strongest region was the southwest. Linda Murphy did very well in the southeast and Panhandle, but was blown out statewide and in the metros.

All told, Hofmeister won 60 counties to Murphy's 17 counties.

Election Results Map: Libertarian Gubernatorial runoff

This Election Results Map post looks at the Libertarian Party's gubernatorial runoff . Previously, I posted the maps for the GOP State Auditor, Attorney General, Corporation Commission, Labor Commissioner, and Lieutenant Governor runoffs.

In the primary election, Chris Powell won 53 counties, while Rex Lawhorn won 16, with two counties tied between Powell/Lawhorn and one between Lawhorn/Exotic. Two counties had no votes cast.

In the runoff, Powell won 29 counties, Lawhorn won 26 counties, 9 were tied, and 13 had no votes cast. Despite the closer county tally, Powell did well where it mattered most, with large margins in the metros and counties where more than 20 Libertarians cast ballots.

32 counties had five or fewer votes cast; statewide, 926 Libertarians voted in their gubernatorial runoff.

Election Results Maps: Lt. Governor runoff

This Election Results Map post looks at the Lieutenant Governor runoff . Previously, I posted the maps for the GOP State Auditor, Attorney General, Corporation Commission and Labor Commissioner runoffs.

In perhaps the most surprising turnaround from the primary, Matt Pinnell turned a 10.15% primary deficit into a 16.28% runoff victory. That's a massive swing, and the above map shows just how strongly Pinnell performed. He received 60+% of the vote in 42 of 77 counties, including three where he garnered over 70% of the vote.

In contrast, while Dana Murphy received majority votes in 16 counties and plurality leads in another 33 counties during the primary, she ended the runoff ahead in just 7 counties, and winning one of those by 0.3%.

Pinnell held every one of his counties from the primary, picking up the two that Eddie Fields had won, and flipped 42 Murphy counties to his column.

In the primary, Dana Murphy won both the Oklahoma City and Tulsa metros; Pinnell handily defeated her in both metros in the runoff.

Election Results Maps: Labor Commissioner runoff

This Election Results Map post looks at the Labor Commissioner runoff . Last week, I posted the maps for the State Auditor and Attorney General runoffs, and yesterday I posted the GOP Corporation Commission runoff.

Cathy Costello held a 7-point lead in the primary, but ended up losing by 4.68% to Leslie Osborn. Costello did very well in the southeast, won the Tulsa metro, but Osborn handily beat her in most of the rest of the state. Multiple counties, including Oklahoma County, went Osborn's way by less than 3%, but Costello was unable to make up that deficit in the Tulsa metro.

During the primary, Costello led in 52 counties while Osborn led in 19. That was substantially reversed in the runoff. Costello ended up winning only 17 counties (two of which went to Swinton in the primary), while Osborn won 60 counties (flipping 3 Swinton counties and 37 Costello counties).

Election Results Maps: GOP Corp. Commission runoff

This Election Results Map post looks at the Corporation Commission runoff . Last week, I posted the maps for the State Auditor and Attorney General runoffs.

Bob Anthony did very well in central and northwestern Oklahoma, as well as the southern and southeastern fringe of the state. Pushmataha County was a dead tie. Bingman did well in east-central and northeastern Oklahoma, as well as southwestern Oklahoma, but lost most of the Tulsa metro excluding his old Senate District in Creek County.

Anthony won 47 counties, but lost 13 counties to Bingman that he had won in the primary. In addition to the counties that he flipped, Bingman won 16 counties.

Election Results Maps: Attorney General runoff

This Election Results Map post looks at the GOP Attorney General runoff. Previously, I posted the State Auditor runoff, which can be viewed here.

Hunter won Oklahoma County by 21.85%, which enabled him to eke out a 271-vote victory. Hunter won 21 counties, Drummond won 55 counties, and Washita County ended in a dead tie.

Drummond won 40 counties that Hunter won in the primary. Hunter did not beat Drummond in any county that Drummond won in the primary.

Election Results Maps: State Auditor runoff

For the latest installment of my Election Results Maps series, here we take a look at the recent GOP runoff for State Auditor and Inspector.

This map shows the lead by each candidate. Cindy Byrd dominated in her native southeastern region (getting 83.93% of the vote in her home of Coal County), but was only able to overcome Prater's statewide strength on her 10.18% win in Tulsa County.

This map compares the primary leader to the runoff victor in each county. In the runoff, Byrd flipped 4 counties that Prater led in from the primary, while Prater flipped 28 counties that Byrd had won in the primary.

I hope to look at the rest of the races in the coming days.