Monday, October 18, 2010
I say "shock poll", because that's the only way a Democrat can view this news: Republican candidate Josh Brecheen is leading 8-year incumbent Democrat State Senator Jay Paul Gumm 46-40, according to a recent poll.
The two are running for State Senate District 6, which covers all or portions of Atoka, Bryan, Coal, Johnston and Marshall counties (covering the communities of Durant, Tishomingo, Madill, Coalgate, and most of the Lake Texoma area).
Just under 20% of voters in the district are registered Republican - never has a Republican won a State Senate race in Atoka, Bryan, Coal, Johnston or Marshall counties. Even for State House, a Republican has only won in Atoka County once (1909), and Coal County once (1921)
Brecheen is in excellent shape to make history by becoming the first GOP legislative candidate to represent these five southeastern counties in the State Senate. Frankly, from everything I have seen about this race, I am not surprised that Brecheen is leading. I'm fully convinced that Brecheen will make history by winning this race.