Wednesday, March 3, 2010

PPP Poll: Edmonds Best Against Boren



Partly due to our efforts here at the Muskogee Politico blog, Public Policy Polling polled the 2nd District Congressional race this past weekend. The results were somewhat surprising.

PPP 2010 2nd District Congressional Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - pdf)
  • Dan Boren (D) - 49%
  • Dan Arnett (R) - 22%
  • Miki Booth (I) - 7%
  • Undecided - 22%
Boren leads Arnett by 27%.
  • Dan Boren (D) - 44%
  • Daniel Edmonds (R) - 28%
  • Miki Booth (I) - 8%
  • Undecided - 20%
Boren leads Edmonds by 16%.
  • Dan Boren (D) - 48%
  • Howard Houchen (R) - 26%
  • Miki Booth (I) - 7%
  • Undecided - 19%
Boren leads Houchen by 22%.
  • Dan Boren (D) - 45%
  • Charles Thompson (R) - 25%
  • Miki Booth (I) - 8%
  • Undecided - 21%
Boren leads Thompson by 20%.

Poll of 664 voters, February 26-28, with a MoE of 3.8%

Congressman Dan Boren holds substantial leads over potential Republican and Independent challengers, but smaller than one might expect, given his previous electoral performances (66%, 73%, and 70%, respectively). I was surprised that he was under 50%, myself.

Daniel Edmonds held him to 44%, Boren's worst performance, and got 28% in the poll, the highest performance. The ther candidates (Dan Arnett, Howard Houchen, and Charles Thompson) were well outside the margin of error from Edmonds' showing against Boren.

Independent 'birther' candidate Miki Booth received 7-8% in each poll.

More analysis to come later [Update: click here for analysis]. For now, here are the results.

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