New post-Trump endorsement poll: Mazzei on top of Gov race, Merrick into 3rd

The first publicly-released opinion poll since President Donald Trump endorsed Republican candidate Mike Mazzei finds the former state senator (unsurprisingly) taking the lead, with Attorney General Gentner Drummond falling into second, and perhaps more surprisingly, former state senator Jake Merrick jumping into third over significantly more well-funded candidates, albeit a somewhat distant third. The same poll finds U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern with a massive lead in the race for U.S. Senate.

Here are the results from JMC Analytics:

Mazzei takes a 4-point lead over Drummond, who is at his lowest polling percentage since the start of the gubernatorial race. The surprise to me is that Merrick has leapfrogged Chip Keating and Charles McCall, both of who have spent millions personally in this race. If this poll is accurate, McCall's numbers have cratered since just a few weeks ago, when a NonDoc survey had him at 18% (the same survey had Keating at 21% and Merrick at 7%).

As I have said to several friends (and maybe here, I don't remember), somebody is going to come in 4th or 5th place in this race after spending $3,000,000 to $5,000,000+ of their own personal funds.

JMC Analytics then pressed the undecided respondents for which candidate they are leaning towards, and Mazzei had the most leaners. The combined result gave Mazzei a five-point lead over Drummond, and has Merrick and Keating tied for a distant third:

They also surveyed the race for U.S. Senate, in which Trump-endorsed Congressman Kevin Hern is really the only serious candidate. Hern has a large lead: