News On 6 to host CD2 runoff debate between Brecheen, Frix on Tuesday

Republican voters in the 2nd Congressional District will get a chance to watch a live debate between Josh Brecheen and Avery Frix on this coming Tuesday, August 16th, on News On 6 (KOTV-Tulsa).

Runoff Poll: Mullin and Walters lead big, Brecheen and Frix nearly tied

Tulsa's News On 6 and Oklahoma City's News 9 partnered with SoonerPoll to survey the Republican runoff elections for U.S. Senate, State Superintendent, and 2nd Congressional District. Here are the topline results:

GOP Senate candidates to meet in live, televised debate on Thursday

Five of the thirteen Republicans running for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Jim Inhofe will be featured in a live, commercial-free debate hosted by OKC's News 9 and Tulsa's News on 6 this Thursday at 7pm.

Poll: Lankford, Stitt with huge majorities, Mullin ahead in Senate special election

SoonerPoll is out with their latest survey of the statewide GOP primaries, and the results are pretty interesting. 

• Sen. Lankford leads his two challengers by a 7-1 margin
• Gov. Stitt leads his three challengers by a 7-1 margin
• Gentner Drummond has a large lead over Attorney General John O'Connor
• Markwayne Mullin has a substantial lead in the Inhofe special election, with T.W. Shannon clearly in second
• State Auditor Cindy Byrd has a lead, but the rest of the statewide offices are a complete jumble

News9 and NewsOn6 GOP Statewide Primary Poll

Gov. Stitt declares today a Statewide Day of Prayer, to join pastors for televised evening prayer event

GOVERNOR STITT DECLARES STATE-WIDE DAY OF PRAYER, CALLS FOR NIGHT OF PRAYER FOR THOSE IMPACTED BY COVID-19

OKLAHOMA CITY (March 25, 2020)— Governor Kevin Stitt has issued a proclamation declaring Thursday, March 26, a “Statewide Day of Prayer” for all Oklahomans impacted by COVID-19.

In recognition of this day of prayer, the Governor has called for Oklahoma faith leaders to unite together at a special prayer and worship event titled “Let Hope Rise: Together In Prayer for Oklahoma.”

The event will begin at 6:30 p.m. Thursday and will be televised live on Griffin Communications stations News 9 in Oklahoma City and News On 6 in Tulsa. Viewers can also stream online at https://transformchurch.us/. In-person attendance will not be allowed in accordance with current social distancing guidelines.

“I know this is an uncertain or anxious time for many Oklahomans right now,” said Gov. Stitt. “That is why I believe it is important we join together as a state and pray for God’s blessing, protection and strength as we face a challenge that is unprecedented in its scope.”

Hosted by Transformation Church Pastor Michael Todd, the event will also feature Pastors Craig and Amy Groeschel of Life.Church, Pastor Jamie Austin of Woodlake Church, Pastor Herbert Cooper of People’s Church, Pastors Paul Daugherty and Sharon Daugherty of Victory Church, Dr. Joel Harder, Chaplain of the Oklahoma House of Representatives, Pastor Alex Himaya of Battle Creek Church, Pastor Doug Melton of Southern Hills Baptist Church OKC and Pastor Bill Scheer of Guts Church.

“Prayer is not our last resort, but our first response,” said Michael Todd. “We believe our faith is more important now than it has ever been. Everyone needs an anchor during this turbulent time and that is what prayer is for us.”

“We believe the Church isn’t a building. It’s the people who gather together in worship. Even though we can’t meet in person right now, we’ll continue to use technology to meet online,” added Craig Groeschel. “As we see God move in incredible ways through churches across our state and around the world, we have faith that He will draw even more people to Him in this uncertain time. We have hope because we know our God is good and He’s still in control. ”

“As a locally-owned company, we are honored to be able to offer this moving program to our fellow Oklahomans,” said David F. Griffin, Chairman and CEO of Griffin Communications. “In this time it’s important that we all remember that we are in this together as Oklahomans.”

Last SoonerPoll survey: Fallin lead cut to 8, Hofmeister up 2, Inhofe and Lankford up 30+

In the final survey conducted by SoonerPoll before the election on Tuesday, results find Governor Mary Fallin's lead slipping slightly, the State Superintendent race a virtual tie, and the GOP running away with both U.S. Senate races.

I've posted the results from SoonerPoll's previous surveys as well. The September poll is in parentheses, and the August poll is in brackets. I've also included the movement from the previous survey.

News9/News on 6/SoonerPoll surveys

Crosstabs: Oct. 29 (Sept. 29) [Aug. 30]

Oct. 29 MoE +/-3.18% (Sept. 29 MoE +/- 4.9%) [Aug 30. MoE +/- 3.99%]

Governor

• Mary Fallin (R): 48.4 (49.9) [50.3]   -1.5%
• Joe Dorman (D): 40.0 (35.8) [32.1]   +4.2%
• Richard Prawdzienski (I): 2.8 (3.2) [1.2]   -0.4%
• Kimberly Willis (I): 1.7 (3.3) (1.1]   -1.6%
• Unsure 7.1 (7.9)  (15.0]   -0.8%

Have Joe Dorman's efforts to tie Governor Fallin to unpopular State Superintendent Janet Barresi been working? Fallin lost a little bit of ground, while Dorman climbed to his highest point yet in SoonerPoll's survey. It's probably too little, too late, but this race just might end up a lot closer than expected.

U.S. Senate - full term

• Jim Inhofe (R):  62.7 (56.4) [59.1]   +6.3%
• Matt Silverstein (D): 27.8 (32.0) [27.4]   -4.2%
• Ray Woods (I): 2.6 (3.8) [1.7]   -1.2%
• Aaron Delozier (I): 1.3 (0.5) [1.7]   +0.8%
• Joan Farr (I): 1.3 (0.8) [1.2]   +0.5%
• Unsure 4.4 (6.5) [8.8]   -2.1%

Don't be surprised if Inhofe hits 70% on election night.

U.S. Senate - partial term

• James Lankford (R):  59.4 (56.2) [58.2]   +3.2%
• Connie Johnson (D): 28.1 (28.1) [28.1]   even
• Mark Beard (I): 3.5 (3.5) [3.0]   even
• Unsure 9.0 (12.2) [10.7]   -3.2%

I don't think I've ever seen a candidate draw the same exact percentage three months in a row. I'd say 28.1% is about as low as Lankford will get Johnson to go.

State Superintendent

• Joy Hofmeister (R):42.3 (38.3) [38.4]   +4.0%
• John Cox (D): 40.1 (38.0) [40.5]   +2.1%
• Unsure 17.6 (23.7) [21.2]   -6.1

This is the general election race of the cycle. In all three surveys, Cox and Hofmeister have been within the margin of error. Hofmeister has a very slight lead at the moment, but John Cox is by no means out of reach. This race still is the Oklahoma Democratic Party's best opportunity for a win.

The Democrats are trying to make the entire election a referendum on Janet Barresi's tenure as State Superintendent. However, Hofmeister's numbers grew at double the rate Cox's did, while Governor Fallin lost ground. In an ironic twist, is this "Barresi tactic" working more in the gubernatorial race than it is in the superintendent race?