Monday, October 13, 2008

TvPoll Tracking Polls - Week Six

TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Presidential Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • McCain (R) - 63.0 (65.5)
  • Obama (D) - 31.9 (29.1)
  • Undecided - 5.1 (5.4)
Poll of 813 Likely Voters, October 10-12, with a MoE of 3.44%. Last poll's results in parentheses.
McCain leads by 31 points. The undecided column has hardly varied the past few weeks; the main action comes from 5-10% of the sample that swing back and forth.
TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma U.S. Senate Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • Inhofe (R) - 53.1 (52.5)
  • Rice (D) - 39.5 (39.7)
  • Wallace (I) - 2.0 (2.2)
  • Undecided - 5.4 (5.7)
Poll of 813 Likely Voters, October 10-12, with a MoE of 3.44%. Last poll's results in parentheses.
Senator Inhofe improved slightly since last week. The undecided percentage in this race is almost identical to the Presidential race.
TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Corp.Comm. (Short Term) Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • Murphy (R) - 40.0 (37.6)
  • Roth (D) - 35.1 (33.1)
  • Undecided -24.9 (29.1)
Poll of 813 Likely Voters, October 10-12, with a MoE of 3.44%. Last poll's results in parentheses.
The closer we get to the election, the more the populace hears about this race. Murphy retains her narrow lead to this point.
TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Corp. Comm. (Long Term) Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • Cloud (R) - 37.4 (36.9)
  • Gray (D) - 30.2 (31.5)
  • Undecided -32.4 (31.6)
Poll of 813 Likely Voters, October 10-12, with a MoE of 3.44%. Last poll's results in parentheses.
Incumbent Jeff Cloud holds his tenuous lead over relative-unknown Charles Gray.

Voter ID:
  • Democrat - 53.5% (54.4%)
  • Republican - 41.0% (40.3%)
  • Independent -5.6% (5.2%)
The political landscape in Oklahoma is different than most areas of the nation. There are only a handful of states where you can find a sample like this that goes against their own party by such margins.

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