Tuesday, October 07, 2008

TvPoll Tracking Polls - Week Five

TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Presidential Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • McCain (R) - 65.5 (67.6)
  • Obama (D) - 29.1 (26.5)
  • Undecided - 5.4 (5.9)
Poll of 801 Likely Voters, October 4-5, with a MoE of 3.46%. Last polls results in parentheses.
McCain still holds a 36-point lead over Obama; one of the largest leads McCain has in the nation.
TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Senate Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • Inhofe (R) - 52.5 (56.0)
  • Rice (D) - 39.7 (35.5)
  • Wallace (I) - 2.2 (2.6)
  • Undecided - 5.7 (5.8)
Poll of 801 Likely Voters, October 4-5, with a MoE of 3.46%. Last polls results in parentheses.
Inhofe leads by almost 13%. However, Rice has closed the gap considerably from earlier this year. Inhofe is still favored to win by a large percentage.
TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Corp.Comm. (Short Term) Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • Murphy (R) - 37.6 (38.3)
  • Roth (D) - 33.3 (29.1)
  • Undecided -29.1 (32.6)
Poll of 801 Likely Voters, October 4-5, with a MoE of 3.46%. Last polls results in parentheses.
Roth made some gains this week; but the relative insignificance of this race makes it nearly impossible to predict at this point.
TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Corp. Comm. (Long Term) Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • Cloud (R) - 36.9 (not previously polled)
  • Gray (D) - 31.5 (not previously polled)
  • Undecided -31.6 (not previously polled)
Poll of 801 Likely Voters, October 4-5, with a MoE of 3.46%. Last polls results in parentheses.
TvPoll polled the other Corporation Commission race this week. The lack of attention on this race, as with the other Corporation Commission race, has contributed significantly to the very high number of undecideds.

UPDATE

Voter ID:
  • Democrat - 54.4% (48.7%)
  • Republican - 40.3% (45.4%)
  • Independent -5.2% (5.9%)
This could very well explain the discrepancy between the results from last week and this week.

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