Tuesday, September 16, 2008

TvPoll/KWTV Weekly Tracking Poll

TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • McCain - 68.8 (65.9)
  • Obama - 27.4 (27.9)
  • Undecided - 3.8 (6.2)
Poll of 816 Likely Voters, September 14, with a MoE of 3.43%. Last polls results in parentheses.
McCain smashes Obama in yet another Oklahoma poll; this time with a 41-point lead. McCain nows lead Obama among Democrats by 4, and among Independents by 22.

TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Weekly Senate Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • Inhofe - 55.7 (57.2)
  • Rice - 30.6 (29.2)
  • Wallace - 4.4 (3.6)
  • Undecided - 9.3 (10.0)
Poll of 816 Likely Voters, September 14, with a MoE of 3.43%. Last polls results in parentheses.
Most of the little movement in this race came from Independents, who flipped from Inhofe to Rice (from 50-20, to 25-55). Inhofe holds a very large lead, thwarting Democrat hopes to upset him in November.

TvPoll/KWTV Oklahoma Weekly Corp. Commission Tracking Poll (link)
(Poll details and crosstabs - PDF)
  • Murphy - 45.0 (44.7)
  • Roth - 32.6 (36.1)
  • Undecided - 22.3 (19.2)
Poll of 816 Likely Voters, September 14, with a MoE of 3.43%. Last polls results in parentheses.
Dana Murphy continues to hold a lead in the Corporation Commission race, extending it by nearly four points this week. The large percentage of undecideds is easily attributed to the lack of attention paid to this race so far, and the relative lack of knowledge of the Corporation Commission in general. Most of the movement in the numbers came from Democrats; Murphy gained 5%, and Roth lost 8%.

UPDATE

Voter ID:
  • Democrat - 49.6% (50.1%)
  • Republican - 44.5% (43.4%)
  • Independent -5.9% (6.5%)

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